Kavli Affiliate: Avi Shporer
| First 5 Authors: Justin M. Wittrock, Peter Plavchan, Bryson L. Cale, Thomas Barclay, Mathis R. Ludwig
| Summary:
AU Mic is a young (22 Myr) nearby exoplanetary system that exhibits excess
TTVs that cannot be accounted for by the two known transiting planets nor
stellar activity. We present the statistical "validation" of the tentative
planet AU Mic d (even though there are examples of "confirmed" planets with
ambiguous orbital periods). We add 18 new transits and nine midpoint times in
an updated TTV analysis to prior work. We perform the joint modeling of transit
light curves using EXOFASTv2 and extract the transit midpoint times. Next, we
construct an O-C diagram and use Exo-Striker to model the TTVs. We generate TTV
log-likelihood periodograms to explore possible solutions for the period of
planet d and then follow those up with detailed TTV and RV MCMC modeling and
stability tests. We find several candidate periods for AU Mic d, all of which
are near resonances with AU Mic b and c of varying order. Based on our model
comparisons, the most-favored orbital period of AU Mic d is 12.73596+/-0.00793
days (T_{C,d}=2458340.55781+/-0.11641 BJD), which puts the three planets near a
4:6:9 mean-motion orbital resonance. The mass for d is 1.053+/-0.511 M_E,
making this planet Earth-like in mass. If confirmed, AU Mic d would be the
first known Earth-mass planet orbiting a young star and would provide a
valuable opportunity in probing a young terrestrial planet’s atmosphere.
Additional TTV observation of the AU Mic system are needed to further constrain
the planetary masses, search for possible transits of AU Mic d, and detect
possible additional planets beyond AU Mic c.
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