Nostradamus: Weathering Worth

Kavli Affiliate: Zeeshan Ahmed

| First 5 Authors: Alapan Chaudhuri, Zeeshan Ahmed, Ashwin Rao, Shivansh Subramanian, Shreyas Pradhan

| Summary:

Nostradamus, inspired by the French astrologer and reputed seer, is a
detailed study exploring relations between environmental factors and changes in
the stock market. In this paper, we analyze associative correlation and
causation between environmental elements (including natural disasters, climate
and weather conditions) and stock prices, using historical stock market data,
historical climate data, and various climate indicators such as carbon dioxide
emissions. We have conducted our study based on the US financial market, global
climate trends, and daily weather records to demonstrate a significant
relationship between climate and stock price fluctuation. Our analysis covers
both short-term and long-term rises and dips in company stock performances.
Lastly, we take four natural disasters as a case study to observe the effect
they have on people’s emotional state and their influence on the stock market.

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